FXST01 XSTR 300530 · AFDSTR ISSUED 07:30 CEST · WE 30.09.2026 PAGE 001
Area Forecast Discussion Storm Tracker · Station XSTR

Scattered projects, isolated progress.

Advisory Heat advisory. The laptop fan can be heard from the next room.

Current conditions

10

Active systems

Thunderstorm, with a 70% chance of scope creep.

Observations

Scope creep
70%
Pressure
1009 hPa falling
Wind
12 kt W, gusts 25
Bypass ratio
3:1
Feels like
9

Warnings

  • Level 3 · Scope creep

    Considerable danger for all active systems until further notice.

  • Level 2 · Hail

    Garden Pattern Works. A long-standing fault that dropped saved edge settings is down, with a fresh test run next.

METAR

METAR XSTR 300530Z 27012G25KT 9999 VCTS FEW030 SCT060CB 10/05 Q1009 TEMPO TSRA RMK PRESFR=

Precipitation /commits per day, last 14 days/

  1. Thursday 17 September: 4 commits
  2. Friday 18 September: 0 commits
  3. Saturday 19 September: 5 commits
  4. Sunday 20 September: 1 commit
  5. Monday 21 September: 0 commits
  6. Tuesday 22 September: 0 commits
  7. Wednesday 23 September: 0 commits
  8. Thursday 24 September: 0 commits
  9. Friday 25 September: 8 commits
  10. Saturday 26 September: 48 commits
  11. Sunday 27 September: 0 commits
  12. Monday 28 September: 14 commits
  13. Tuesday 29 September: 34 commits
  14. Wednesday 30 September, today: 15 commits

Active systems

All 10 systems
  1. GRHail

    Garden Pattern Works

    Turns a photograph into a cutting pattern for mosaic and stained glass, with a companion app for designing paved surfaces.

    Three tabs tested in the browser and fixed, and a paving colored from a photograph now answers in a tenth of a second instead of a third. A long-standing fault that dropped a saved fall and edge settings on reopening is down.

    METAR XGPW 300240Z 26015G28KT 4000 TSGR BKN030CB 02/01 Q1007 NOSIG RMK 685 ASSERTIONS=
  2. TSTMThunderstorm

    Off The Grid

    A self-built, fully offline record of one house and its land, covering sun, heat, water, flood risk, garden, and history. Every figure comes from open data and is checked by tests.

    Private station · observations withheld

    A burst of rework. The model now runs on six decades of measured records in place of an assumed factor that proved wrong throughout, and one validation check waits on a measurement in the field.

    SPECI XOTG 300240Z AUTO /////KT //// ////// ///// Q//// RMK PVT STN=
  3. TRPCL STMTropical storm

    World Explorers

    A multilingual family web app where children explore a storybook world of their family's choosing through games, letters, keepsakes, and learning.

    Four more rounds of page work are built and tested, waiting to go live. The plan grew a learning section for school subjects, with the virtual pets up next.

    METAR XWEX 290222Z 09035G55KT 3000 +TSRA BKN012CB 34/03 Q0998 TEMPO 1000 +TSRA RMK 8 OF 10 ROUNDS=
  4. TSTMThunderstorm

    The Great Penguin Mystery

    A private app of stories, games, and messages. The details stay at home.

    Private station · observations withheld

    Redesign rounds swept the games, the makers, and the learning extras. Ninety new stickers now share one tool across eight maker pages, all in daily use, with a tablet check next.

    SPECI XGPM 290220Z AUTO /////KT //// ////// ///// Q//// RMK PVT STN=
  5. DZDrizzle

    Pfau.ai

    A small creative laboratory. A peacock's tail links projects across stories, music, light, worldbuilding, and a post-capitalist framework.

    A polish release and a tidy-up of the docs and files. Stable and in use, with visitor feathers moderated as they land.

    METAR XPFA 282345Z 23005KT 8000 -DZ BKN020 06/04 Q1014 NOSIG=
  6. TSTMThunderstorm

    German Anki Decks

    Two German study decks for Anki. One covers B1 to C1 vocabulary with grammar tables, and one tests reading nuance with themed multiple-choice passages.

    A new system with two cells. The vocabulary deck settled at 2,644 notes after a full audit, and a new reading deck built quickly to 63 cards.

    SPECI XGAD 261400Z 27018G32KT 5000 +TSRA BKN025CB 03/02 Q1009 RMK FREQ LTGICCG 2644 NOTES 63 CARDS=
  7. TRPCL STMTropical storm

    Reflectopia

    One penguin, too many feelings. Interactive storybooks, one-page comics, and songs about the questions she can never quite answer.

    The music forming offshore made landfall as five albums, each with its own jukebox page. A Star Map now charts the theme constellation, and book 10 waits for its art.

    METAR XRFL 261400Z 09035G55KT 3000 +TSRA BKN012CB 09/05 Q0998 TEMPO 1000 +TSRA RMK 5 ALBUMS 73 TRACKS=
  8. TSTMThunderstorm

    Storm Tracker

    This website. A weather report for side projects, filed by a pfauguin.

    First deployment through Cloudflare Pages. From here on, every update is a single line in the log.

    SPECI XSTC 261000Z 27018G32KT 5000 +TSRA BKN025CB 16/08 Q1009 RMK FREQ LTGICCG=
  9. TSTMThunderstorm

    Praxis Model

    Doctoral research. The details stay in the lab until they are published.

    Private station · observations withheld

    On final approach. Heavy review activity ahead of the oral defense, with clearing expected once the committee signs off.

    SPECI XPRX 261000Z AUTO /////KT //// ////// ///// Q//// RMK PVT STN=
  10. LOPRESLow pressure

    Kane vs. Lagrange vs. Cartesian

    Three derivations of one gravity-gradient satellite, and which one deserves your afternoon.

    Recurring system, first observed years ago and now redeveloping over orbital waters. The Cartesian derivation is expected to be long.

    METAR XKLC 261000Z VRB02KT 9999 BKN080 03/01 Q0988 NOSIG RMK RECURRING SYS=

All 10 active systems

Key to codes
  • FRONT · Front approachingnot started
  • PTCLDY · Partly cloudyin progress
  • DZ · Drizzlesmall, steady updates
  • TSTM · Thunderstormintense burst of work
  • WSHFT · Wind shiftchanged direction
  • TRPCL STM · Tropical stormscope creep
  • TURB · Turbulencerefactor underway
  • +FC · Tornadorewrite from scratch
  • GR · Hailbugs coming down hard
  • ICG · Icingblocked from outside
  • FOG · Fognext step unclear
  • LOPRES · Low pressurestalled
  • DSIPTG · Dissipatingwinding down
  • DSIPTD · Dissipatedshelved or abandoned
  • CLR · Clearshipped
  • HIPRES · High pressurestable, in steady use

Forecast discussion

.SYNOPSIS... A new domain has formed over the workshop and is intensifying quickly. Model guidance agrees on a weather theme and disagrees on nearly everything else.

.NEAR TERM... Pages are now built straight from the observation log. Expect frequent changes as the rest of the site comes ashore.

.LONG TERM... Confidence is rising. Maintenance cost remains the deciding variable, and every update is now a single line.

.AVIATION /TAF/...

TAF XSTR 252130Z 2522/2718 27010KT 9999 SCT040
  BECMG 2606/2609 24015G28KT SCT050CB
  PROB40 TEMPO 2612/2618 TSRA=

$$ FORECASTER...STORMY

Fan club

  • DrizzleFreeUpdates when something moves.
  • SquallFreeThe same updates, felt more strongly.
  • SupercellFreeAdds the raw CSVs, uncompressed.
  • Category 5FreeAdds the full commit history.

All tiers are free. The tip jar takes compliments only. Nothing is locked. It never was.

Recently cleared

Storm archive
  • Shipped and clear. Version 1.12.0 is live, with all nine lamp packages rebuilt from one specification each and a viewer that keeps every lamp in frame.

    METAR XIML 300530Z 00000KT CAVOK 13/09 Q1024 NOSIG RMK 9 BUILDS 51 PART TYPES=
  • CLR

    Friends Adventure

    Complete and clear. The penguin platformer is finished, all five friends aboard.

    METAR XFAD 292330Z 00000KT CAVOK 05/02 Q1024 NOSIG=
  • HIPRES

    Family History App

    Settled and in use. Early census transcriptions were checked against the tree for five small corrections, and none of the 744 flagged disagreements still waits for review.

    METAR XFHA 282230Z AUTO /////KT //// ////// ///// Q//// RMK PVT STN=